There are two numbers worth considering relative to what is happening politically in our country. Consider each with their attendant, respective analyses.
Every three days, well-known pollster Gallup published the results of their sampling of public opinion vis a vis Trump’s job approval. Yesterday, the rolling average for the 13th, 14th and 15th showed 45 at an historic low of 38%, with disapproval standing at 57%. It is noteworthy that among the most ardent Trump supporters, his approval still registers in the 90’s! It is that group of voters that congressional Republicans fear should they ever turn on the bloc’s hero., something they have thus far shied away from doing.
This number represents the clear majority of respondents to a CNN poll that want the Russia/Trump connection investigated by a special prosecutor. Unswayed by this strong showing, Republicans continue to maintain that existing, functioning congressional committees be allowed to do their job.
In response to that stance, one must ask “Do we or do we not have a representative form of government?” How do elected representatives turn their back on a signal from seventy-eight percent of the country? Here’s a plausible answer: Because they control all of the aforementioned committees, Republicans can determine the pace at which their respective investigations move ahead, who gets called as witnesses and what documents are subject to subpoena. It is an advantageous position to be in if you are inclined to slow-walk the proceedings and control what news comes out of them. (1) In simple, direct terms, there is the opportunity to minimize the damage that would potentially be inflicted on Trump’s administration and his presidency. Think about that relative to the preceding section and how loathe congressional Republicans are to upset rabid 45 supporters.
While the foregoing two sections have some value in their own right, they are most assuredly subject to change when the next set of polling data becomes public. Those new results will take into account the public’s reactions to yesterday’s allegation that Trump tried to influence former FBI Director James Comey to drop his investigation of 45 associate, Michael Flynn, and that 45 gave away classified intelligence to two Russian diplomats without following established protocol before doing so. (2)
Both of these very recent developments, especially the first of the two, have had a very unsettling effect on congressional Republicans who now have no choice but to interview Comey about the veracity of the story that Trump interceded in Flynn’s behalf. If it holds up, then talk about charging 45 with obstruction of justice will be more than whispered in the coat rooms on Capitol Hill.
- Recall the last blog posted at this site; i.e. “Tick-tock”.
- Any president has the legal right to declassify whatever bits of intelligence he chooses, whenever he chooses. But, there is a protocol that must be followed before that information is shared with anyone. From all that has been gathered, Trump failed to do that.